Statistics bureau: It is difficult for the gray income to look into but will never not interfere not to check

Statistics bureau: It is difficult for the gray income to look into, but will never not interfere not to check
After publish the signed article continuously on the 24, 25th, the 30th, " 5,400 billion gray income theories " which scholar Wang XiaoLu sold before State Statistics Bureau responds this on its official site for third time ,Put emphasis on " because the ashy source of revenue is extremely complicated, the disguise is very strong, no matter who do the census, also it is very difficult to obtain true information. " (www.people.com.cn of August 30)
Though scholar Wang XiaoLu's calculation method under study for action and investigation method used suffer the dispute before this, but even cast aside these and does not talk, in the theses of that " gray income and national income distribution " of his, other routes of the recessive income that also already offered to us proving. Among them it is judged that the aptest, it is personal deposits and difference of the total value of consumption.
According to " the Chinese statistical yearbook 2009 " and already open data of " national economic general survey key data communique of the second time ", the RMB balance of deposits of the urban and rural residents of the national financial institution increase by 4,540 billion yuan in 2008. In the same year, after selling and deducting the loan in the commercial residential building, have spent the personal deposits of 1,820 billion yuan; The investment of self-built room of urban and rural residents has used individual savings of 700 billion yuan; Second three industry come from 2.5- 3 thousand billion of private investment of individual savings; Stock and bond absorb individuals to save 1,000 billion yuan together; Resident's investment in financial products such as the futures, gold, foreign currency,etc., in addition, residents hold the increase of ones such as cash and foreign deposit,etc., there is 500 billion yuan at least. Comprehensive to have the total, the total value of the national personal deposits should be 11,000 billion - 11,500 billion yuan at least in 2008, can be according to a data announced according to State Statistics Bureau, the personal deposits total value in the urban and urual areas of whole country is only 3,550 billion yuan, so the recessive income of the residents who there is 7,500 billion - 8,000 billion yuan at least has not included in counting incomes, these have not included in recessiveness counted and gained great majority of capitals and come from the gray income.
Therefore, even if the economic data of foundation announced from State Statistics Bureau are calculated, it is obvious too that there is no gray income listed in national income statistics range, and concrete the data have not seen either where difference go.
When the error is so huge, the gray income is finally 1,000 billion or 5,000 billion, to people, seem not to have too a loud difference, so, pester to details such as investigation method, statistical method and sample quantity,etc., it would be better to admit the fact, and on this basis, try every possible means to count as soon as possible, even if is a bit more coarse.
In the view of scholar and king Xiao Lu, presenting the reason for counting the slip at present mainly has two points: One is that some high income colonies are unwilling to be polled; Second, household that part is poll may fail to report, offer little data. As to this, State Statistics Bureau says too that admits. But the author thinks, only admit it is not enough yet, will try every possible means to remedy.
For example to high the intersection of income and the intersection of colony and unwilling situation that is poll, king Xiao the Lu 's adopted and let their kith and kin or people of the neighbourhood pay the method of the investigation, obtain the basis about the situation of their revenue and expenditure indirectly. The relevant persons of related departments think it is of great impact that this kind of investigation receives the subjective factor, it is rational not to enough for science. Perhaps really so, but king Xiao Lu and others are trying every possible means to try hard to be close to the true data at least, but not know perfectly well that will produce the enormous slip to ignore. Though just like the related departments said, " no matter who do the census, also it is very difficult to obtain true information " ,Have people clear away all obstacles and surmount every difficulty, try every means, do after all, obviously than " remains indifferent to " this More positive, nearly a steps.
Gratifiedly, State Statistics Bureau, in the response this time, to causing resident's income to count the reason omitted, specially proposed using the international experience for reference, invited the international expert, utilized the sixth people's census data to this the statistical data carried on several countermeasures of correcting in an all-round way etc.ed. However, seeing that hide the gray income with huge number in the high income colony, these data have quite important value for making policy and regulating, whether relevant staff members can do the best to gather, and is made known publicly accurately, make sure to scrupulously abide by the duty, I'm afraid it is not merely full of ideas, there should be resolution and daring and resolution that methods will be fulfilled even more. Yin is mediocre (XinHua daily dispatch the commentator)
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