Friday, March 1, 2013

The statistical data are self-contradictory Public trust is queried

The statistical data are self-contradictory Public trust is queried


Fight each other in many kinds of statistical data.
Focus
Statistical data and " Fight " (used after a verb to indicate the completion of an action). The State Family Planning Commission announced " the case storehouse data quality of provincial population assessed and tested the result " a few days ago, it was born in population and compare with data of family planning statistical report form of population that 20 saved in 2000- 2009 12% higher. In near one or two years, because the difference of the statistical data attracts the case that each side pays close attention to not small number, " battle of upward rate of the room rate " , " the sum of local GDP is greater than the whole country " , " the rate of unemployment is really a lot of " A succession of doubt lets the public trust of the statistical data tested. It is reported recently, even battle of the number of champion of admission of Peking University, Tsing-Hua University, also it relates to statistics way and requirements to produce.
As to the thing that more lively " Fight in data " ,Say data craft,it release by statistical data should open and clear,including source of the data, statistical method, applicable scope etc. disclose in an all-round way, should offer the detailed one while releasing the data " The manual " ,Prevent the public to to read by mistake data from, improve public trust of statistical data.
The expert suggests
The statistical data need more openly and clearly
How to prevent the public from producing reading to the data by mistake, improve the public trust of the data? Professor of Peking University sociology department Guo Zhi just thought, the statistical data should be more open and more clear, "how the statistic will come, which primitive figure are, have only announced, everybody will know whether you are reasonable " .
Deputy to the National People's Congress, Deputy Bureau Director of Hubei statistics bureau Ye Qing think too, the data that can be public try hard to disclose.
Two different departments, a piece of the sky of figure, a underground, but I believe that there is a reason, Guo Zhi just said: "But what is the reason, need to say clearly, do not let people believe you very much? "
Will not merely announce the basic data, Guo Zhi just thought, should avoid the statistical question by practical work, and can't always announce a simple result, very about to persuade people, need a piece of explanation. "The foreign original document is 0.33 meters thick, not afraid others ask. But we do thickerly. "
It is reported, by the look of international experience, the issue of the statistical data is not merely the announcements of a succession of data, should include even more source, method, meaning and applicable scope of the data,etc. are open. The statistical organization of developed country often offers exhaustive data source, production process, applicable scope while releasing the data.
If regarded statistical data as the products, there ought to be detailed " manuals " . Lack " manual " ,The use of the data will inevitablely meet all sorts of questions, it is difficult to avoid to read by mistake to the data, will even influence the public trust of the data.

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