Wednesday, June 20, 2012

The grain crisis initiates the whole world to worry

The grain crisis initiates the whole world to worry
The meteorological phenomena threatens to attack again, the international grain price thereupon climbs, the nearly insoluble grain crisis initiates the whole world to worry.
Since the spring, Poland, Austria, Germany, France,etc. national climate act out of character in the middle part of the Europe, become arid and short of rain; Farming regions such as U.S.A. Texas, Kansas state,etc. be extremely likewise hotly this spring, the Atlantic Ocean [14.13 - 0.07% ] the intersection of both sides and wheat produce and face irredeemable losses.
The more terrific one is, this phenomenon will also last. On May 27, World Meteological Organization of the United Nations says, varying with climate brings more extreme climate within the following ten years, China will possibly face more serious aridity, but North America will face too much rainfall. World Meteological Organization Geneva general headquarters responsible for the intersection of climate and Omar that data management employ and bars of Du say: "In the future, the meteorological incident will become stronger extremely, especially heat wave and extreme precipitation incident. These incidents, in addition, there is less rainfall of some areas such as Mediterranean area and China, will bring the adverse effect to crops production and agriculture. "
The underproduction of the agricultural products [16.92 0.18% shares ] has initiated the skyrocketing of the price of global food. In mid-May, the index of grain price of world that Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations releases is that 265 is checked, go beyond 30 points more than the index at the time of the crisis of the grain price of 2008.
It is the most prominent that the African food price rises. The Secretary General of World Food Programme of the United Nations wishes to be blue to show, grain price and fuel price of Africa area of east attacked by the aridity are skyrocketing, the amount of the increase of price of the corn of main crops has already reached 25%-120%. Report of Pan African News Agency say recently since the 3 month, price, wheat of the Sudan, go up by 87%, Chad rice's price has gone up by 30%, the corn prices of Mozambique and Kenya have gone up by 25%, the price of Burundi doubled in the past 3 months too.
It has been a topic which the whole world has paid much attention to all the time that the international grain price high position ran, but because the interests of various countries are different, the position difference is obvious, make the international food safety question basically insoluble, even the more serious become.
The intersection of G 20 and international elementary issue of agricultural product price high-ranking official that finish May 20 in how stabilize the intersection of grain and price,etc., basically make any progress at the key topic meeting. Among them the most key reason is, because the position difference of grain exporter and importer is too big, difficult to reach an agreement on the key topic.
Production of agricultural product such as U.S.A., Australia, South Africa, Brazil, Argentina and exporter are upward direct beneficiaries of grain prices, what these countries held is to object to intervening the grain price, and European Union is devoted to stabilizing resident's food price level, have many complaints to the high grain price. It is to need to import the economy in the development of the grain to hope what intervened the grain price most, especially the countries and regions with relatively backward economy, because the grain price rises even causes these countries to present the political and social turbulence.
The spreading of grain crisis will exert a bad influence on the recovery of global economy too. Grain price and other and main the intersection of agricultural product and price fluctuate the intersection of impact on people's livelihood and other item non- but and. Going all out " against the crisis " In period, Central Bank all around the world took measures of retrieving flowability appropriately in time etc., though the inflation situation is controlled to some extent, the secret worry that agricultural products supply will bring the inflation pressure.
The United Nations economy and social affairs portion release " the World Economy situation of 2011 years and expect in the report " point out too May 25, though grain and petroleum price going up constantly are useful to some exporters, but influenced some people's life, some countries have adopted stricter monetary policy for this, this kind of monetary policy has resumed bringing the negative effect on economy.
Absolutely not the efforts of a country can be solved if the grain drops negative effects brought in production. The international community should reach the cooperation mechanism as soon as possible. Let people it feels a gratified one to be slightly, though G 20 reach common understanding on stabilizing the price of grain, but agree on supervising and attacking to the speculation fund of agricultural products. What France put forward strengthens the suggestion of supervision and gets every support on the speculation fund which enters agricultural product trade fields. Argentina proposes clearly too at this meeting, should strengthen to the forward market of agricultural products and derive the supervision of the product market, in order to contain, speculate propagation without restraint of agricultural products of the fund a short time. It is estimated it is at the agricultural council of ministers of G 20 held in Paris in June of this year, each side will carry on more careful research on this question, will strive to take out the feasible supervision scheme.
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